On Friday 15 July on Theresa May’s second day as Prime Minister she visited the First Minister of the Scottish Devolved Government, Nicola Sturgeon. It was reported in the Telegraph On-line on Friday evening that in order to protect the Union of the United Kingdom Theresa May would NOT invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty giving notice that we intend to leave the EU until she has the agreement of all the devolved government of the UK.
What this means is that this ‘Bloody Difficult woman’ who claims to have already gone head-to-head with Angela Merkel has now in effect given a veto to the devolved Parliaments on when and if we can invoke Article 50.
That is not what a determined Brexiteer would do! That is precisely something a committed Remainer would do, in effect giving themselves a get-out-of-jail-free card.
How is it that Scotland with 1,661,191 who voted remain and 1,018,322 who voted leave counts more than the following;-
Region | Total votes | Leave | Remain |
South East | 4959683 | 2569116 | 2390597 |
North West | 3665945 | 1968612 | 1697333 |
East | 3328983 | 1880875 | 1448108 |
South West | 3171730 | 1668856 | 1503874 |
York & Humberside | 2739235 | 1580589 | 1158696 |
East Midlands | 2508515 | 1475007 | 1033508 |
Wales | 1626919 | 854432 | 772787 |
North East | 1340698 | 777605 | 563093 |
What is it about Nicola Sturgeon that makes her believe the Scottish peoples votes are worth more than the rest of the UK, when we are massively subsidising Scotland’s economy.
Even when you take into consideration the other major areas that voted to Remain, being London and Northern Ireland you have;-
Region | Total votes | Leave | Remain |
Scotland | 2679513 | 1018322 | 1661191 |
Northern Ireland | 790149 | 349246 | 440903 |
London | 3376751 | 1354077 | 2022674 |
There is no way you can look at any of the figures to produce an argument that one region of the whole of the UK is more important than any other and justifies a veto over the rest. If you take the total the Leave wins by 4%. If you take 11 regions then leave wins by 72.7%.
If you use qualified majority voting where England has 70.7% of those who voted, Scotland has 15.4%, Wales has 9.3%, and Northern Ireland has 4.5%, the other three countries together do not win for remain.
For Theresa May the strong negotiator to say she will not invoke Article 50 until she has the approval of all the Devolved Parliament in the United Kingdom is maybe showing her true colours. She is allowing a 642,869 majority for Remain in Scotland to block the wishes of 17,410,742 voters in the rest of the UK!
Frankly there is no deal that is going to be acceptable to Nicola Sturgeon that will also be acceptable to those who chose Leave the European Union. Theresa is trying to kick the can down the street but there are several major issues.
The elections in France and the elections in Germany as well as Italy and Greece both in need of serious bale-outs again and also the migrant crisis that is not going away and only likely to get worse while we procrastinate. Then there is a general election in the UK in 2020.
By far the best policy would be to call Nicola Sturgeon’s bluff by calling for another referendum for Scotland, to Remain in the UK and Leave the EU, or Leave the UK and apply for EU membership. Hold this in early 2017 and then immediately invoke article 50. Either they are with us or go independent but we are free to leave the EU without being blackmailed any further.
While we are about it we should move the UK’s submarine base from Faslane in Scotland to England. The Scottish people are overwhelmingly anti nuclear and don’t want the base and are unhappy that it is in effect forced on them by Westminster. We don’t need that anger and we do need the jobs down south so we could reactivate Plymouth or Portland or Portsmouth to be the new home of the fleet.
According to the Office for National Statistics, as of 23 June 2016 the estimated population of the UK (Britain & Northern Ireland) was 65,110,000 and broken down as in the following table;-
England 54,786,400
Scotland 5,373,000
Wales 3,099,100
NI 1,851,600
Scotland is only 8.25% of the total UK population but due to the Barnett + Cameron formula now receives £1650 per member of its population more from the Treasury than an English person. That is why they have free prescriptions and free university education. They are such a massive drain on the rest of the UK that I doubt they would get a fraction of that good a deal from the EU if they left the UK.
Frankly I feel that the ‘Bloody Difficult Woman’ is a push-over and has probably betrayed the 17,410,742 people who voted ‘Leave the European Union’ by giving Nicola Sturgeon the veto on invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty.
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2 Comments on “UK, Scotland and EU”
May has done her recce and now needs to be bold by telling Sturgeon how it is. Real Politic will ensure that a second indy ref is unwinnable for the SNP. The support for the SNP will then ebb away. Time for UKIP to mop up the unionist vote.
Yes disgusting isn’t it. I knew Theresa May was bad news, she’ll be just like Cameron, lying through her teeth and doing endless U-turns.
I think May kept fairly quite during the referendum campaign just to see which way the wind was blowing and that about sums her up, she’ll just bow to pressure and be blown with the wind.
May is a complete waste of space, well leave the EU in spite of her not because of her.