No, don’t despair, I’m being ironical, I hope –  more like ‘Three Hearty Boos’, that would be more appropriate to greet that travesty of what he calls a (sin)ario. To claim he was asked for a scenario and not a forecast – the man’s a fraud. He normally distributes forecasts like hey nonny nonny every month for goodness sake, they’re his responsibility, they’re his forte. I am of course talking of Mr Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England …

Should we be so surprised he has taken the duplicitous option?

Not really – he is dealing with a duplicitous conscienceless and merciless EU junta.

He is dealing with an equally merciless, duplicitous government and its highly duplicitous and  vainglorious Chancellor and PM.

What is the poor man to do but play the daft laddie?

They learn it in EU-inspired kindergartens these days: never give a straight answer to a question, always answer a question with a question, be pejorative and extreme – and above all always stress ‘The Worst Possible Case or Outcome’.

My goodness didn’t he go for  broke this time! The fear-factor multiplied by ten, some pundits even have christened it “hysterical”. That’s not hysterical, there’s not a soupçon of hysteria gone into that dog’s breakfast of a forecast (sorry, sinario). It’s the product of a cold, hard calculating analytical mind, playing the system for all it is worth and providing the government with enough ammunition  to b*gger up any of the propositions, which will result in the evasion of Brexit altogether or perhaps even worse our permanent decomposition in the never-never land of “Brexit in name only”, contrary to Mrs May’s original promise of “no deal rather than a bad deal” or, as she also put it “not a half-in, half-out” sort of proposition.

Promises, promises, we all know manifesto promises are not worth the paper they are written on, for we all know there is a court judgement whereby the judiciary confirm that 180-degree turn abouts are quite OK, we all know it is OK for officials to lie, JCJ himself tells us so. So duplicity reigns

Members will have received an update from Gerard Batten, detailing a real Brexit “scenario” and he has itemised the options which I quote below:

“What happens next?

If Parliament votes against the Agreement we are back to square one. There are a number of things that could happen, but these are some of Mrs May’s options:

  1. Go for the so-called ‘No Deal’ exit, which actually means leaving on WTO terms and returning to the status of an independent, democratic, nation-state. This is UKIP’s position and we can be fairly certain Mrs May will not do that.
  2. Go back to the European Commission and ask for further amendments to be made to the Agreement to make it more palatable to Remain MPs. The Commission has already said it will not accept any further amendments.
  3. Ask the European Commission for an extension to Article 50 to delay while she continues to ‘negotiate’ for her mythical ‘good deal’; albeit the Commission having said the Agreement cannot be amended further. However, Article 50 can be extended by a decision of the EU Council.

The Commission might like to kick Brexit into the long grass and give the Remain MPs time to work on a strategy for not leaving at all.

  1. Mrs May could resign as Prime Minister. The Tory Party would select a new PM who could then consider options 1 to 3 above.
  2. Mrs May, or a new Prime Minister, could ask Parliament to vote to dissolve itself and bring about a general election. The Conservative and Labour parties could then offer in their manifestos the option of a new Referendum to reverse the decision of 2016.”

Gerard asked the question “what happens next”? The Government asked the Governor of the Bank of England to “Forecast” what are the likely financial effects, broadly, of those options enumerated by UKIP above.

I’m sure they were aware that so abstruse would be much of the information available that, at best, results would be imprecise and be more of a “ballpark” or even “back of a fag packet” assessment, unless this was a “put-up job” between the government and the governor, whereby the governor was to paint a picture where all options other than staying in the EU would lead to inevitable financial disaster, even of the order of a 30% loss of property value, a million and a half (10%) unemployed, and/or a 9.3% loss of GDP.

By his conduct, in sporting terms, the Governor has “sold the pass”. He has ensured that he has provided the government with nonsense where they sought clarity. Remember – they are ostensibly asking for this information on our behalf, both the voters who voted for Brexit and those who voted remain.

The Governor maintains he was addressing “business uncertainty” –  he has certainly prolonged the agony. Except, for the Bankers, he says “there is certainty the banking system will not fail this time around”, even if any or all his dreadful (sin)arios come to pass. That’s  a relief, the rest of us and the stakeholder parties can go to the wall, but the bankers will be OK – didn’t we used to call that a “bankers ramp”? The nation has been “had” by this impudent banker who couldn’t resist the suppressed smirk on his face as he answered the loaded questions from his selected coterie of colluding MSM press.

What a shambles!

Now can we have some proper forecasts which reflect the real relevant positions of the parties, in that there must be an equitable deal whereby it is recognised that the EU cannot survive without our money (ransom), but equally that there is an enormous trade deficit in their favour that they cannot afford to jeopardise.

I agree we cannot have our cake and eat it, but nor can the EU.

 

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