Truth will sooner come out from error than from confusion. 

Francis Bacon, Novum Organum Scientiarum, Aphorism 20

 

 

Vague and insignificant forms of speech, and abuse of language, have so long passed for mysteries of science; and hard and misapplied words, with little or no meaning, have, by prescription, such a right to be mistaken for deep learning, and height of speculation, that it will not be easy to persuade, either those who speak, or those who hear them, that they are but the covers of ignorance, and hindrance of true knowledge.

John Locke, An Essay Concerning Human Understanding, The Epistle to the Reader.

 

What conclusion would Sherlock Holmes draw from the following?

 

(1.1) The turnout in the 2016 London Mayoral Election was 45.3%.

Sadiq Khan ended up with 44.2% of that 45.3%.

So – 79.9774% of the electorate DID NOT vote for Sadiq Khan.

 

(1.2) The turnout in the 1945 General Election was (surprisingly) 72.8%.

Labour ended up with (even more surprisingly) 47.7% of that 72.8%.

So – 65.2744% of the electorate DID NOT vote Labour.

 

(1.3) The turnout in the 1860 United States Presidential Election was 81.2%.

Abraham Lincoln ended up with 39.8% of that 81.2% (there were four candidates running).

So – 67.6824% of the electorate DID NOT vote for Abraham Lincoln.

 

(1.4) The turnout in the 1983 General Election was 72.7%.

The Conservatives ended up with 42.4% of that 72.7%.

So – 69.1752% of the electorate DID NOT vote Conservative.

 

(1.5) The turnout in the 1997 General Election was 71.3%.

Labour ended up with 43.2% of that 71.3%.

So – 69.1984% of the electorate DID NOT vote Labour.

 

(1.6) The turnout in the 1960 United States Presidential Election was 62.8%.

John F. Kennedy ended up with 49.72% of that 62.8% (Richard Nixon won 49.55%).

So – 68.77548% of the electorate DID NOT vote for John F. Kennedy.

 

(1.7) The turnout in the 2000 London Mayoral Election was 34.43% (!).

Ken Livingstone ended up with 39% (!) of that 34.43%.

So – 86.5723% (!) of the electorate DID NOT vote for Ken Livingstone.

 

(1.8) The turnout in the 2008 London Mayoral Election was 45.3%.

Boris Johnson ended up with 43.2 % of that 45.3%.

So – 80.4304% of the electorate DID NOT vote for Boris Johnson.

 

(1.9) The turnout in the 2015 General Election was 66.4%.

The SNP ended up with 4.7 % (!) of that 66.4%.

So – 96.8792% of the electorate DID NOT vote SNP.

 

(1.10) The turnout in the 2008 United States Presidential Election was 58.2%.

Barack Obama ended up with 52.9% of that 58.2%.

So – 69.2122% of the electorate DID NOT vote for Barack Obama.

 

~~~~~     *****     ~~~~~

 

(2.1) In the USA, in 1859, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote for Abraham Lincoln BECAUSE I want him to start a civil war.’

 

(2.2) In the 2010 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote for the Conservatives BECAUSE I want them to legalise gay marriage.’

 

(2.3) In the 2010 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote for the Conservatives BECAUSE I want them to go into coalition with the Liberal Democrats.’

 

(2.4) In the 1966 British General Election, millions of voters (including hundreds of thousands of members of the National Union of Mineworkers) DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote Labour BECAUSE I want Roy Jenkins to sneak in a Bill legalising homosexuality.’

 

(2.5) In the 2001 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote Labour BECAUSE I want Tony Blair to authorise the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, kill hundreds of thousands of people (including hundreds of British soldiers), and cause chaos around the Middle East and trouble around the rest of the world.’

 

(2.6) In the 1910 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote Liberal BECAUSE I want Asquith to plunge us into a World War which will kill millions of people; including some of my relatives.’

 

(2.7) In the 2017 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote for the Conservatives BECAUSE I want Gavin Williamson to be made defence secretary.’

 

(2.8) In the 1945 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote Labour BECAUSE I wholeheartedly approve of the spirit and the intentions, and relish the consequences of the Nationality Act which will be imposed in 1948.’

 

(2.9) In the 1950 British General Election, millions of voters DID NOT say ‘I’m going to vote Labour BECAUSE I want to sign up to the 1951 United Nations Refugee Convention

[Ed: to be continued tomorrow with the concluding Part II]

 

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