It has been just two weeks since Henry was crowned. The culmination of three months of umbilicus inspection saw a unique Conference for a rebranded UKIP. A lion was revealed.
The leadership election, the third in my time as a UKIP member, started way back on the 9th of June on the resignation of Paul Nuttall after the disastrous general election campaign. Some would argue it started after the Stoke debacle, but I don’t wish to argue that point.
June the 9th gave UKIP activists and members a stark hit of political reality. From gaining the votes of nearly four million voters in 2015, UKIP garnered the votes of less than 600,000 electors in a post Referendum Britain. Hard to bear political reality. Leave voters returned to their political homes, motivated either by the fear of Corbyn’s Labour, or hatred of the ‘nasty’ Tories. The most negative of elections.
The political miscalculations by the UKIP leadership were gargantuan. A party which did not know its voters. A party unclear as to whether to stand candidates. A party incapable of selecting candidates. A party incapable of providing deposits. A party unable to understand where its target seats were or where to focus resources. A party unclear as to its purpose.
Meanwhile, down in the mysterious environment of the UKIP ‘grassroots’, stoic work was ongoing in spite of the rudderless meanderings of the UKIP hierarchy. Organised and committed candidates and activists were working against the usual barriers and obstacles on behalf of our cause – to ensure the United Kingdom leaves the EU and regains its independence. Theresa May announced a snap general election on 18th April 2017.
On the 19th April 2017 I was in the local photographer’s studio with another UKIP candidate getting portraits done and by 26th April our literature was designed and ordered, funding having been sourced locally with minimum assistance from region and none from the central Party. Further literature was ordered for the ‘Postal address’ through the UKIP system. Some, though not all, reached letter boxes in the constituency. The national campaign was a disaster. The Party even failed to publish a manifesto in time for the postal vote drop – you literally could not make this level of incompetence up.
During the general election campaign I received direct assistance from John Rees Evans who gave of his time and skills to make a promotional video. I received moral support from communication with Anne Marie Waters, the only representative of the Party who said what needed to be said after the Manchester bombing on 23rd May. No other Party representative or officer provided either assistance or encouragement during the campaign. On the 9th of June 2017 reality crystallised and Paul Nuttall resigned.
The resignation of Paul Nuttall clearly re-energised many in the Party. Perspective can be distorting, but a renewed and enthused effort seemed to come forth from many UKIPers that had not been apparent from them during the General Election.
In the preceding three months I have witnessed, from some UKIP members, more effort going into attacking the character and person of fellow UKIP members than in attacking the policies of our political opponents. I have seen the selfish underbelly of the Party. I have seen an MEP and branch Chairman support the attempts of left wing thug groups and the Police ‘Service’ to silence Anne Marie Waters in Rotherham on 1st July 2017. I have read the words credited to Bill Etheridge in the Telegraph and the Mirror labelling members of the Party with the familiar tropes ‘far right’, ‘neo-fascists’, and ‘infiltrators’. I have seen the Party elite attempt to have Anne Marie Waters removed from the ballot. I have seen the new Party leader attempt to remove Anne Marie Waters from the ballot through use of solicitor threats.
During the leadership hustings, several of the candidates took an approach to Anne Marie Waters of ‘playing the (wo)man not the ball’. Henry Bolton argued that the tone and the language used by Anne Marie Waters were unhelpful.
Four months after the general election and UKIP has a new leader who has now been in post for less than two weeks. The political errors from earlier in the leadership campaign have now manifested themselves in the creation of a new party ‘For Britain’. Did those who supported Henry Bolton during the leadership campaign understand this inevitable consequence, or had they not been paying attention?
Divided? Ruled? UKIP as a party claims ownership of the Brexit issue, but the public and the voters just do not see it the same way. UKIP has failed to move on from the Party that spent years fighting the just fight: to ensure a future for Britain outside the EU and return sovereignty and self-determination to the people. The UKIP message, whatever that may be – for the voters don’t know – has failed to move out of the campaigning past and failed to project a vision for the future of the nation and national politics in a post EU era.
Divided the former party now is, with John Rees Evans also leaving UKIP to join a different new party ‘Affinity’. Politics is changing, the voters are discontent and the Labour/Conservative stranglehold on politics is currently tightening due to the divisions in UKIP that have manifested themselves since the 2016 referendum and the resignation of Nigel Farage. Yet the stranglehold relies on the wafer thin confidence of a disgruntled public.
There remains a political opportunity for a Party that gets its pitch right and engages the widespread interest of the general public. I will leave you with a thought, one to reflect on, often over the coming weeks and months: Which Party can realistically do this?
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41 Comments on “The Crowning of Henry. Reflections.”
Certainly not UKIP under HB, James. No vision, no strategy, no relevance.
Thanks for your thoughts, and good to have met you.
Q
I have been a UKIP member since 2009. As others have suggested I may retain my membership but support AMW’s new party as well!
In my experience as a recently appointed and subsequently elected branch chairman, branches get monthly updates on membership. The system isn’t perfect, from my point of view, needing work to interpret, but it is there.
As a former member, I would like to point that in more than 2 weeks new leader did not change a single persona in the top hierarchy of the UKIP, which could suggest few possibilities: Mr Bolton is pleased with UKIP’s who is who as it stands at the moment, he is rather slow in decisions making or he is really not prepared to take over the party lead yet. What and where is team Bolton?
You’ve got to give the chap a week to polish his image, another week to worry, another week to panic. Then he might, possibly, start consulting and even deciding. But then the poor sod has to work out who’s to believe.
I had hoped we might see progress inside 3 weeks, But the media clearly has taken more on itself. But he must remember he’s the leader and must start giving away bits of authority, he cannot do everything himself, and start to organise, not look for cronies,
Let’s see.
Bolton won and we should all now get behind him to make a success of UKIP. As it has been pointed out, the MSM are now going to find it hard to traduce Bolton’s experience and character.
In fact, ‘For Britain’ could well turn out to be a blessing in disguise for UKIP. The MSM will have a new party to focus their smearing on, and a new target for their viewers/listeners/readers to be brainwashed into believing are ‘far-right, racist, fascist, Nazi, extremists’.
While the MSM is distracted, Henry Bolton will have chance to regroup and rebuild UKIP, and may even start to find favour with the MSM.
Great minds think alike Stuart. It also occurred to me that Hope not Hate might find a new target and leave UKIP in peace for a while.
Regards
“While the MSM is distracted, Henry Bolton will have chance to regroup and rebuild UKIP, and may even start to find favour with the MSM”.
Yes, Jolly Good.
Except it won’t be UKIP getting all the MSM banner headlines will it. You know, the ones they used to get when they were, er, radical?
Regrets but I have to agree fully with James D.
” I have the selfish underbelly of the party(ff)……”
But what pains me most is that Farage and Bolton played the woman not the ball.
How do we move forward from here? I Don’t know.
The UK will on current policies be a majority Muslim nation by 2050.
Labour, the Liberals and the Tories have no intention of doing anything to stop that, or even talking about it. And now UKIP have joined them.
What ‘hope’ do you hold out that that will be avoided, Julian?
I quite agree about the leaflet templates. Some of the points puzzled me and my colleagues in Preston. Some background research told us that they referred to local issues in London. Some other points on the leaflets indicated that they were produced by someone in London with little or no idea about the rest of the country. And they were very dear. We didn’t use them.
I agree with the other points, too.
A: The Mogg party.
UKIP has elected (not crowned), an expert on international security and borders, with an OBE (can you imagine Corbyn or May getting an OBE for anything they’re likely to achieve?).
It’d be a good idea to treat him with some respect and give him the chance to show us what he’s made of, and find out where he wants to lead the party.
Cameron’s hairdresser got an MBA for services to hairdressing so anything is possible.
Cameron, a toff but not a gentleman.
Great piece James. I couldn’t agree more, disenfranchised is how many of us feel.
Correction: retain our ancient
Good points Hugo which will not be served by a leader who is an appeaser.
It take exception to the term “appeaser”. I will now go into a sulk and say nasty things about anyone who disagrees with me.
I asked you a question in the Sunday Express on the make up of Bolton’s team if he has one yet. Or is every one carrying on as before, I have been unable to find out
Hint: the nec, who need to approve, meet towards the end of October…
Rob regarding the NEC approval. If he has the strength to do so, HB could announce the team he wants, then give the NEC the choice – approve it face the flack if they didn’t.
I agree with your general point. But I think it’s important that things are well founded. For example, opposition to 2. might be predicated on support for 3., or something like it.
Icni, you keep writing essentially the same point but with differing wording.
You never did answer my questions from some time ago: Have you examined Islam? Have you read the Koran?
Icini, do you think that Islam is compatible with democracy? If so, please explain how the laws of Allah would be incorporated into a modern democratic process.
I asked her what she thinks of the fact that the UK’s Muslim population is doubling every 12 years, and given current demographic trends the UK will be majority Muslim by 2050:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/11/muslim-population-england-wales-nearly-doubles-10-years
http://www.ukipdaily.com/uks-demographic-transition-islamic-state/
She hasn’t replied to that either.
The demographics are seriously concerning. The 50% point is concerning, however the point of no return is the figure which is key.
The point of no return I estimate to be somewhere around 2030 to 2040. Time is running out rapidly.
Thankyou for linking to my article.
AMW must be exceptionally busy. Keep your email brief and to the point, and she may reply.
Just saw Henry Bolton on Sky News talking about banning the burka. His reply was all about face coverings and motor bike helmets. No mention of the oppression of women and the incompatibility of Western values. Yes it appears Keith that UKIP have caved.
Additionally he actually used the word musketry or something along those lines. Sounded like a right toff.
Keith, you are correct that if HNH etc stop attacking UKIP it would not be a good sign.
We will see whether Mr Bolton listens to the grassroots members or whether he listens more to the religious lobby within UKIP.