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Yesterday was a good day for UKIP

Yesterday was a good day for UKIP politically, perhaps the best one we’ve had for a while. Not mainly because of anything we’ve done, but because of what we haven’t done.

Theresa May has signalled a desire for a snap General Election – and called it on our home turf, Brexit (though not being a single-issue Party, we don’t have to stick to that one issue of course). Having repeatedly ruled out an election, now she’s calling one. I’m not opposed to the idea of a General Election in principle, of course I’m not. But I don’t like politicians saying one thing and then going out and doing the opposite just because they like the look of the opinion polls that day. It makes people trust them less.

Then she ruled out taking part in any General Election debates. Because, naturally, the last thing that the leader of the country should want to do in an election campaign is provide the public with an informed choice. Ducking debates makes her look, well, weak.

Later in the day, what the more politically astute of us had immediately suspected turned out to be the Case: Channel 4 News reported that the Crown Prosecution Service is considering whether there is a case for prosecutions of 30 individuals over the 2015 General Election expenses. It’s likely they’re almost all Conservatives, and that will bring charges that the Conservatives are going to the country now to avoid a string of by-elections. If there are prosecutions, they’ll be announced right in the middle of a General Election campaign. Not a good look.

Meanwhile, the Labour Party have shot themselves in the foot. Firstly, they missed an opportunity: a savvy Labour Party interested in its own election would have voted down an early election on the grounds that Theresa May herself said it would be disruptive. The Conservatives effectively need Labour support to force the election with the necessary two-thirds majority, and the only other way of calling one is the embarrassing and rather unedifying spectacle of the government calling a motion of no confidence in itself – which would have been shambolic.

Instead of spotting the political opportunity Corbyn just said he was going along with the Conservatives’ plan. He’s not so bright and never one to spot a gift horse when it’s staring him right in the mouth.

Labour currently, according to Guido, lack ‘a slogan’, a ‘key seats list’ and ‘a budget’ for a General Election. UKIP are actually much more advanced on all of these, for once! In some of our key seats we actually begin with more data than Labour, which makes a massive change.

If that wasn’t bad enough for Labour, John Woodcock MP has said that there’s ‘still time’ for his Leader to step down and that he ‘can’t countenance’ ever voting for Corbyn to be Prime Minister. If his own MPs won’t vote for him ahead of a Conservative, then Corbyn has a serious problem on his hands.

Lurching from crisis to crisis, the next real low point for Labour today was Corbyn’s plan to deselect a substantial number of his own backbenchers. Because naturally, he doesn’t think he needs their support. I’m not normally one to use words like ‘facepalm’ but I’m getting close. Labour’s NEC seem to oppose that idea, so they’re ready to descend into a new and brutal civil war just before a General Election.

The SNP thought it would be wise to go from demanding an election to criticising an election within 24 hours, demonstrating a U-turn faster and more ferocious than the famous bend at the San Marino Grand Prix.

Then the Liberal Democrats got in on the act. Tim Farron thought that now was the time to espouse his religious views on homosexuality, once again implying that he considers it to be a sin. I mean, he’s perfectly entitled to his opinion, but if he believes that what on earth is he doing leading the Liberal Democrats?

Finally, Tony Blair crops back up and raises the spectre that he’ll campaign for some anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats. Wonderful news for everyone except the Liberal Democrats, I’m sure. Though he’ll campaign for anti-Brexit Labour candidates too. And it reminds the public of Tony Blair, which is bad news for the Labour Party too.

UKIP, meanwhile, know what we stand for. Some old big names seem to be headed back into the limelight and the Party is quietly gearing up for battle behind the scenes more impressively than I’d expected.

More importantly though, everyone else made serious blunders yesterday. Paul Nuttall didn’t. UKIP didn’t. Long may this continue.

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Jonathan Arnott MEP
About Jonathan Arnott MEP (26 Articles)
Jonathan is General secretary of UKIP and represents the North East of England as a UKIP MEP

27 Comments on Yesterday was a good day for UKIP

  1. I am very concerned at the lack of UKIP representation within the news media. Farron appears to be taking on Labour supporters because they won’t vote Tory. The Greens are interviewed and speak out, Labout and Cons are being seen and heard all the time. Hello, are we still a party?
    Are we being boycotted by the media circus? Our spokespeople should be giving interviews all the time. and for heavens sake, do not mention others by name. That is one of the golden rules in sales and marketingto not criticise people withiin and without the party.
    Only state the benefits.
    The charge against Brexit is that most people were unaware that Breexit did not mean leaving the single market. It bloody well did. We were under threat continually being informed of this EU decision, so why did I not hear our leaders stating this fact?
    We just appear to have sheep leading the lions. Or as my blate father said of his army days about the British military, lions lead by asses.

  2. Jonathan thank you for those much-needed positive words. With many kippers espousing the view in one way or another that UKIP is a one-trick pony whose trick is done I for one was glad to hear them. I firmly believe that none of us should lose sight of the fact that Mrs. May is no Michael Gove and certainly no Gisela Stuart. She intends to keep us under the communist err sorry I mean EU jackboot with the EU arrest warrant just for starters. And then there is the little matter of ending our rather halcyon British existence with ‘multi-culturism’ by turning her blind eye to ongoing rampant immigration.

    Clearly politics is the art of the possible and perhaps winning the next election may just be out of our reach for now but can we make a difference? Hell yes.

    We need to box clever and at the very least get a toe-hold in parliament. Down here in little old East Tilbury last time round we delivered a cheap, hand-written leaflet to every mailbox and now have a UKIP councillor to show for our troubles. It can be done. Perhaps next time round the leaflet should contain a web address to a UKIP website with an online leaflet cum advert tailored to suit the area and very professionally done. We would need a number of those each designed to appeal to our target audience in areas we contest. Some would be the same so we wouldn’t need that many.

    And as for leaders, well in my view each one of us is his or her own leader so let’s roll up our sleeves and get going and do what we can. We don’t need to be told to do that.

    • You know, I’ve got my doubts about the current direction of UKIP but with Carswell gone and such an important election coming up I find myself warming to the fight once more. As long as I see UKIP pushing on our core issues and targeting wfforts sensibly I’m actually becoming more optimistic.

      We can do this, especially if Nigel is with us to rally the troops. Maybe this fight is exactly what UKIP needs to get itself sorted out.

  3. “More importantly though, everyone else made serious blunders yesterday. Paul Nuttall didn’t. UKIP didn’t. Long may this continue.”

    He already made his mistakes which led to not winning Stoke, and not even coming close to winning.

    Chasing after the Muslim vote, abandoning decent British humane values was a mistake.

    I notice that Tariq Mahmood has since left the party:
    “@Steven_Woolfe @DianeJamesMEP @DouglasCarswell @paulnuttallukip after careful consideration I have decided to leave the party.”
    https://twitter.com/Drtariqch/status/845779194923696129

    He campaigned for the humane policy to be reversed in 2015:
    http://meatinfo.co.uk/news/fullstory.php/aid/18126/UKIP_changes_tack_on_non-stun_slaughter.html

    The other religious lobbyist advocate of animal cruelty is this UKIP mayoral candidate, who burned a Bible and posted photos onto social media:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4415292/Ukip-candidate-bible-burning-Orthodox-Jewish-rabbi.html

    “While he said he keeps his membership under “constant review”, Odze plans to remain in the party to work with colleagues to reverse the decision. “It’s important we have people on the inside arguing our case. It’s imperative not to to apply pressure but to put the case to the NEC to get them to reverse. There’s every chance they could.””
    http://jewishnews.timesofisrael.com/jewish-ukip-supporters-vow-overturn-shechita-ruling/

    Can UKIP get a grip please and stop pandering to the cruel demands of religious zealots? This is supposed to be 2017, not 500 BC or 622 AD.

    • Unfortunately, so PC has our own leadership become, that they are incapable of seeing obvious infiltrators

      • UKIP has to be consistent. If it claims to be in favour of one law for all, then it must mean it fully 100%. You cannot have one law for all with exceptions. UKIP is in a muddle which has to be resolved urgently.

        If one law for all is the policy it is not then possible to allow exceptions to the law so that religious abattoirs can be deliberately and excessively cruel to animals, when a non-religious abattoir not using pre-stunning would quite rightly be prosecuted.

        The voters are not stupid. They can recognise hypocrisy and insincerity when they see it.

    • Yes, Hugo, and Paul made such serious blunders in Stoke that I really do not feel inclined to wear my UKIP badges or campaign for the party.
      If religious minorities (Jewish or muslim) have influenced policy change to overturn our British humane animal welfare laws on stun to kill, and Nuttall seems inclined to back the repeal of the hunting with dogs law, I won’t back the party.
      If UKIP isn’t supporting the British majority and their views and sensibilities on a range of issues concerning our way of life, preferring to pander to minorities, what is it for?

  4. Stop thinking you are politically astute Jonathon! The reality is that you are a bit of a wimp who got into a boxing ring with a libdem on youtube and it took a minute for you to throw in the towel. You have no backbone man!
    I do hope you are demanding the expulsion of the mayoral candidate who put on facebook his burning of a new testament but I am not holding my breath. If I bump into Nuttall during the next few weeks I shall bring the subject up as a priority AND I WILL NOT MINCE WORDS.
    UKIP should fight the election in target seats only ( say 100) with the slogan NO MORE IMMIGRATION. We should also campaign on banning halal food – that will get us acres of good publicity or did you not know that most native people here in the UK are against halalisation of food?
    Other policies could include BOGOFF Sturgeon, Bogoff Sinn Fein/IRA, Bogoff Leanne Wood, and “We want our fishing grounds back”.
    Most UKIP activists would agree with me.
    PS what have you been doing since your fact finding mission to New York?

    • CK – to the point, strong, honest comment. But is anyone at the top listening or willing to tell it like they should? I think I can answer my own question – NO!

    • Agreed, CK, and here’s another suggestion: GET RID of the Foreign Budget Law that commits us to giving away three times the amount any other country spends on Foreign Aid. Bill Gates is trying to interfere in our election on this issue today, so here’s another message: BOGOFF Bill Gates, spend your own money, not ours.

      • Many thanks for your comments Panmelia.
        I am thinking of moving the family holiday to Clacton. This could be UKIP’s/Banks breakthrough.
        En route to Clacton I would like to leave my calling card in Broxtowe.
        Slight problem the wife and kids (late teens) are not enthusiastic.
        I am too much of a Quijote.

  5. Tiny Tim Farron is a really confused fellow.

  6. Gary Conway (below) has got hold of the right end of the stick here.

    May has called the election so as to rub out UKIP and the 4mn “anoraks” who voted UKIP last time.

    The election result will give her a personal, popular mandate to govern as she sees fit, which will over-ride the referendum result.

    She will win on a wave of pro-Brexit rhetoric. But although electoral promises may create “legitimate expectations”, they are not binding on the politicians who make them.

    So, she will then be free to make a pig’s breakfast of Brexit… just as, the day after the referendum result, she smoothly and seamlessly moved from being a Remainer to being a Brexiter, so, once she has a personal popular mandate under her belt, she will then move back.

    Sir Humphrey Applleby will be pleased. It is all really very clever.

    Anyway, she and Rudd already said they want to keep the European Arrest Warrant and our membership of Europol, so we can see her real intentions as stated in Parliament on this matter, but hardly reported and undebated, fly in the face of her much publicised rhetoric.

    The fact is that she has stolen nearly all of UKIP’s clothes. UKIP will now be seen as “surplus to requirements”, and Brexiteers will vote Tory rather than UKIP, for “why split the Brexit vote and let a Remainer win?”

    There two areas however where she is vulnerable:

    Her Home Secretary Amber Rudd’s statement to Parliament on March 6th, that they intend to keep the European Arrest Warrant and our membership of Europol. This means leaving anybody in Britain at the mercy of any dodgy European judiciary to have them arrested and whisked away to duress vile. And the fact that they can do this on NO EVIDENCE, ie at their whim, means that the EAW can be used to get rid of political opponents on any pretext, as the Rumanians are already doing in the case of Alexander Adamescu. No country that claims to be independent should suffer that!

    And secondly, UKIP could take a stand against the creeping Islamisation of Britain. No other party will do that.

    But do we have the guts?

  7. Let’s see what our genius leaders come up with. With Suzanne Evans writing the manifesto and POF as Paul’s political adviser, I’m not expecting much.

    A really imaginative, populist manifesto based on Brexit, identity, islam (not Paul’s ‘wonderful contribution’ version of islam) electoral reform and direct democracy could start to position UKIP into a populist, relevant post-Brexit party. An informal pact with the tories (excluding the very few good ones, 5 at most) would mean the end of UKIP, not even standing was a disaster in richmond park as our endorsement of Zac was his death-knell, the libdems could use it to reinforce his image as the brexit candidate.

    Its an existential question for UKIP, do we want to evolve into something else (something that is deseperately needed in this country if you consider the demographics in 30 years), or do we remain a (highly effective) Brexit pressure group. But after this GE, and then the UKIP MEPs leaving the EP, there won’t be a lot left of UKIP come the next GE. The full time MEPs will all be gone, the money will be gone, the identity of the party will be gone.

    I only hope this election, if nothing else, results in a complete change of leadership. We will probably run on a Suzanne Evans manifesto that will fail – always the flaw in her logic was that she ignored the possibility that tories shifted to the right again. Paul won’t have the stomach for the fight after this hammering. So out of the ashes can rise a true populist party. Or people like me can finally give up on UKIP ever evolving into what we hope for, and we can move on.

  8. I wish that I could share your optimism but from what I see UKIP are totally unprepared and still suffering from Nuttall’s unbeleivable error of the Stoke leaflet. I shall be voting to keep the Libdums and Labour out.

    • I think this is the correct view. How could a party that has had 3 leaders in less than a year be prepared? Paul has failed to lead, things have happened to him like DC and MR leaving, but this wasn’t as a result of his decisive action. His team is a mish-mash of compromise, hence no clear policy positions have come forward, so most likely the manifesto will be a simple cut and paste of the last one written by SE. There is NO money. And who would give any to a party which seems uncertain about whether or not it should even stand candidates??? Giving a political party donations not to do anything is a novel concept. There is NO money in the bank, and – unless we get radical and believe in our relevance – there will be no money coming in except skimming off the top of the MEP allowances.

  9. This election really can be a positive result for UKIP if we are smart about where/how we stand. As long as we make it clear in action and words that our only objective this time around is to support a true Brexit then we can focus our efforts the media will have no stick to beat us with.

    Parliament is a second tier priority. Many of us will feel that achieving a proper Brexit is more important than getting a handful of MPs right now.

    Mind you, I imagine the amount of activist support for UKIP will be epic in Thanet (because no-one likes a cheat), Clacton (because no-one likes a Judas) and Broxtowe (because no-one likes Anna Soubry).

    Obviously if Farage decides to stand in Thanet it would be a big boost to morale, but I’m assuming he won’t.

    • Hear, hear, SK, achieving a proper Brexit must be our highest priority and personal or party ambitions to get seats have to take second place. I hope that the kind of UKIP Branch Chair who wants to challenge a true Tory Leaver such as Jacob Rees-Mogg will be firmly over-ruled. We need wise decisions on where to stand and against whom, with all the implications and ramifications for the weakening or strengthening of Brexit success worked out in fine detail.
      Some pessimists are saying that T May is a Remainer and that her Cabinet members are too; that we can’t trust her; that this snap election is all about protecting her and her party’s position; that she’s being cynically opportunistic etc etc.
      I’m sure that she decided to go to the country for any number of reasons, but one outstanding FACT is that the Remainiacs over the last 10 months have done their utmost to undermine, overturn and sabotage the Referendum decision; and they have had the effrontery to declare their intentions to go on doing this every step of the way. This is intolerable and the Remainiacs must be crushed.
      So whether we feel personally inclined to trust Theresa May or not, we have no choice but to take her statement of intent to achieve Brexit at face value and ensure that she can. What she has in mind as a ‘proper’ Brexit is unlikely to chime perfectly with what Ukippers want to see. However, those are details to worry about later, after the Remainiac Wreckers have been put in their place.

  10. Could I add a plea, if you have the ear of our Leader, NOT TO STAND UKIP CANDIDATES in the true Tory Leaver seats like Jacob Rees-Mogg and John Redwood, to name two of the most able and staunch Leave supporters, and Gisela Stuart, Kate Hoey as well. Target our resources!

    • Hear hear.

      On the other side of that coin, it will be interesting to see whether the Tories stand against Carswell in Clacton. I suspect Douglas thought he had a few years as an independent to smooth the way to rejoining the Tories in time for a 2020 General Election. One of the few positives from this snap election is that it’s torpedoed Carswell’s plans. If the Tories do stand in Clacton, with Carswell as an independent, and a UKIP candidate, and possibly Arron Banks… would be a total bun fight but I suspect the Tory candidate may squeak it (probably that Giles guy who played the vicar in Bread). May even let the Labour candidate in on the lowest vote share in history!

    • No worries there. Everyone knows the Mogg is safe from UKIP. 🙂

  11. Brexit *was* our home turf, but like so many other policies it has been stolen lock, stock and barrel by the Tories. And like other policies, having stolen Brexit, the Tories have no intention of implementing it.

    If this General Election is a re-run of the EU referendum, Leave voters will vote Tory. The general public perceive the Tories, quite wrongly, as a Brexit government who are trying their hardest to deliver the Brexit we voted for, but are being frustrated (hence the totally unnecessary General Election).

    Until such time as it becomes clear that the Tories will betray the country yet again over Europe, Brexit is not a vote winner for UKIP. Had this election been called in 2020 we might have made hay out of what will no doubt be a terrible “deal”, at this stage in the proceedings fighting a General Election on a slogan of “holding the Tories feet to the fire on Brexit” will condemn UKIP to electoral irrelevance.

    UKIP will be left with its core vote, those canny enough not to trust the Tories on Brexit, and those who vote for “none of the above”. Many 2015 UKIP voters will vote for their local Tory-in-Brexit-clothing to prevent openly Remainiac Lib Dem or Labour candidates. I’m afraid we must accept that this General Election will see our vote fall back towards the level we saw in 2010.

    A General Election is the worst possible thing that could have happened. Yes, Labour are in a mess and will be hammered. But they will still get millions of votes and will still be Her Majesty’s Opposition on June 9th. While some high profile Remainiac MPs may get ejected (please God Soubry, please let it be Soubry), some Brexit voting MPS will likewise get rejected by their Remain constituents (see Richmond rejecting Zac Goldsmith in favour of the Lib Dems).

    The net result of all this will be exactly what we have now, a House of Commons packed with Remain MPs, some of whom will be wearing Brexiteer clothing in the short term to get elected, but will be working hard to keep the UK in the EU in all but name. The only difference is that they will have a mandate that supersedes that of the EU referendum.

    People have been complaining that Theresa May became PM with no mandate. She will have a massive mandate on June 9th, and she is a Remainer. Expect the small number of true Tory Brexiteers to be marginalised after this election. Will there be any genuinely pro-Brexit Cabinet members in May’s first re-shuffled cabinet?

    This election will give the Tories the green light to come back with the worst possible deal. I expect to see us remain under the ECJ in certain areas, in the EAW, in the CFP etc etc and still making payments long after we leave. As the Tories will have a massive majority till 2022 and beyond, and there will be no Brexit opposition in Parliament anyway, there will be nothing we can do about this.

    Our best hope, as I’ve argued elsewhere, is for either Remainiacs in the UK, or the EU itself, to delay and disrupt the negotiations so that no deal is agreed by March 2019. We will then leave without one, and have the Brexit we voted for.

  12. I do agree, Johnathan, that this just could be UKIP’s chance to get votes if not MP’s because at least the public know where UKIP stand on Brexit if not on any other policy. I hope Nuttall has the guts to hammer away at the Open Borders/Immigration issue, because, no matter what people pretend, that is number one for many – closely followed by restoration of British Law and repatriation of our Fishing – which the SNP will find tricky in parts of Scotland. Incidentally I think SNP will lose quite a few seats. And Limp Dems will do very well, the Remoaners will vote for them en masse.

    • Immigration, crime, fishing, Brexit – absolutely obvious things for Nuttall to push that the other parties will say little about or just lie. Dee you know it and I know it. Will Nuttall have the balls to open his mouth or indeed will he be allowed to by the party elite? Will Mr. Arnott give us his honest opinion or tell us if UKIP has now made the decision not to be radical and has joined the mainstream?

      Anyhow thank you for your article on UKIP Daily Mr Arnott

      • I believe UKIP should leave off Brexit. May needs a strong hand to negotiate and avoid parliament rejecting her ‘deal’ forcing us to go back begging. The next GE is when UKIP should attack; to get us completely out of the EU because as has been said by many, we will likely still be tied in many ways. We do need to hammer strong policies on completeness of exit rather than concentrate on Brexit. That will happen. This means immigration and fishing rights amongst others. We do need a few policies on home government as well but I feel we won’t get the ones we want.
        Mr Nuttall should refrain from mentioning T May by name. It is old hat and his repetition sounds childish. Surely he has something else to say. If there is a TV debate I fear we will all be cringing. Someone tell him to get help in public speaking (delivery and style). Please! There is still time.

        • But William, It’s at least what our Leader knows something about! Also, I personally don’t trust May at all. We must get votes, – if only we would go for banning Halal etc we’d get loads of support. If we don’t get votes, we won’t get Brexit in anything but name.

          • Dee, I wish UKIP every success but I have no answer to criticism of how Nuttall comes across on TV.

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