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The Next Government

I have been thinking hard about the formation of the government after the election on May 7th and can only come to one solution. It is not original but it is one that has been suggested and dismissed several times already. A Government of National Unity between Labour and the Conservatives will have a total of over 500 parliamentary seats.

Such a coalition is really not as difficult to resolve as the coalition of the Tories and the Liberal Democrats was. Apart from their origins, funding and primarily their approaches to the economy they are now both centre left parties.

They will agree that they cannot now hold a referendum on EU membership. The NHS will be pledged more money and welfare cuts will continue but will be ‘fairer’. The mansion tax will be dropped in exchange for not getting rid of the present inheritance tax threshold. HS2 will roll on, as will overseas aid now set in law. They will go ahead with the replacement for Trident nuclear weapons and four new submarines.

Climate change subsidies will be frozen but legislation will be enacted to prevent objections to onshore wind farms. Education will have a moderate increase in spending during the 5-year term. The surplus of Captains and Admirals in the Navy will be severely reduced and barracks will close as redundancies in the army continue. Other smaller departments will have funding reduced. That pretty much sums up the Queen’s speech.

In order that George Osborne will be the Chancellor instead of Ed Balls it is agreed that Ed Miliband will be Prime Minister and Theresa May Deputy Prime Minister. To balance the party power Yvette Cooper will be Home Secretary. David Cameron will become Leader of the House of Commons as well as Foreign Secretary, which gives him income, title, and prowess on the home front and World stage prior to Britain’s 6 month Presidency of the EU Commission due in 2017.

Philip Hammond will become Defence Secretary again. No doubt Caroline Flint will become the new rottweiler and Secretary of State in the Department of Energy & Climate Change, ably assisted by John Prescott as second in command of the Department.

I needn’t guess at any others because there will be several ministers like Sajiv Javid, Sadiq Khan, and Chuka Umunna who must have prominent positions and likewise some high profile female ministers such as Harriet Harman, Liz Truss, Justine Greening, and Theresa Villiers to find positions for.

One of the greatest advantages of the Government of National Unity is that it will completely destroy the power of UKIP, Plaid Cymru, and the Liberals. The only drawback will be that the largest opposition party will now be the SNP who will no doubt have Alex Salmond as Opposition Leader, giving him the platform he always dreamed of.

The Unity Government can then continue to waste billions of pounds on things that the majority of the electorate do NOT support, Climate Change, EU membership, Overseas Aid, and HS2. It will have no hope of reducing the deficit by 2020, but public spending will have increased so many will be happy about that.

Together the left of centre Unity Government parties can ensure that the people of this nation continue towards ever closer union with the EU, until that day when the UK has been broken into its EU regions each with its own devolved powers, and that the government at Westminster is no longer required.

The Magna Carta octo-centenary being celebrated this year will have come to nought with the right of habeas corpus given away and the lives lost fighting for our sovereignty and the fight of ordinary folk for the right to vote lost to a socialist technocracy controlled by foreigners.

Don’t listen to their scare stories about letting the others in. Vote only to reduce both the MPs of Labour and Conservative to make our voices heard.

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About Antony Nailer (104 Articles)
Antony Nailer is a Design Engineer & Author, qualified with an HNC in Electronics and BA in Physics & Mathematics. He was on the UKIP Approved Candidates List for the 2015 General Election but is now a lapsed Member.

17 Comments on The Next Government

  1. Peter Gardner // May 2, 2015 at 2:11 am //

    Antony Nailer’s piece is brilliant and shows clearly the ghastly trend in UK politics. It fits exactly the pattern of institutional corruption explained in ‘Why Nations Fail’ by Daron Acemoglu and Kames A Robinson and developed further by Niall Ferguson in ‘The Great Degeneration’.

    Nations fail when their political and economic institutions are extractive, ie exploit the population for their own ends and neglect or act against the interests of the population as a whole.

    It is easy to understand the pull of the EU for the political elite. Instead of ministers representing a mere 65 million Britons when they go abroad, they can claim to represent 250 million Europeans. And in reality, so long as they promote EU policy that is exactly who they are representing. It is the same in every member state of the EU. The EU is succeeding in its purpose of replacing national democratic government with supra-national bureaucracy.

    The interests of their own constituents cannot hope to claim their attention. Nevertheless they need to be elected in Britain. Since the only competences the EU allows member states is the division of the national cake and the power to make a small proportion of national laws within a heavily circumscribed scope, that is all candidates can offer in their election campaigns to distinguish themselves from the others – buying votes with other people’s money.

    The only way Britain can avoid becoming a failed state is by leaving the EU.

    • Take a look at Jews, God & History, by Max Dimont. I daresay a revitalizing of British Culture, which will come with the revitalizing of the Commonwealth, is part of it, because when a people move from the autumn of their life, to the winter of their life, they move from culture to civilization.

      Curiously, this hasn’t happened with the Jews, and they remain a culture. It’s as if it was exiled to freedom via the expulsion that dates from 70 A.D.

      More people need to know more about the Magna Carta, and to investigate what writings overlap with it, like J’Accuse by Emile Zola; for there are lessons to become cognizant about, and then to apply the knowledge.

  2. Antony Nailer // April 30, 2015 at 6:18 pm //

    Stephen Barraclough wrote …..However, as a member and a fervent supporter of UKIP, I (pray and-) hold
    the VERY REAL hope, that there is a sufficient ground-swell of
    hitherto undeclared voters, who will surprise all the political pundits
    with their numbers, including the Author!
    If UKIP get anything above
    50 seats in this, the most critical election since WW2, it will upset
    all the calculations upon which this (horrifyingly realistic seeming)
    article is based! (Please God!)
    As an avid supporter of UKIP, of course I would like to see the party do well. I believe the polls always show more support for the two main parties than their really is. When asked, people shy away from admitting they support minor parties for natural fear of ridicule.

    Also it is written that large numbers of ‘don’t knows’ get assigned according to polling percentages from the last election when UKIP was polling 3%.

    I would like to hope the the Kinnock effect will come back to whack Nicola off her ‘holier than thou’ perch. In a similar manner to Neil Kinnock when he spectacularly lost against opinion polling that assured him of victory.

    So what other options are there. Lets assume Tories & Labour each get 275 seats, SNP get 45, Liberal get 25, UKIP get 20, Dup get 6, Greens get 2, and independants 2.

    Labour + Tory = 550. A 224 seat majority, Wow.
    Labour + SNP = 320. Not enough.
    Labour + SNP + Liberal = 345. A 19 seat majority, comfortable.
    Tory + Liberal = 300. Not enough.
    Tory + UKIP + DUP = 301. Not enough.

    It is an interesting exercise which reveals that Labour would be better off in coalition with Tory than in a confidence and supply arrangement with Liberal and SNP.

    Time is getting on and we will soon be able to use real numbers.

  3. Stephen Barraclough // April 30, 2015 at 4:01 pm //

    This sounds like “The Pitch” for a politico-horror movie!
    That is, until you read it a second time, WHEN IT TURNS INTO A HORRIFIC NIGHTMARE: the sort you get when you are half asleep, and can neither do anything about as it unfolds, nor wake yourself up from!

  4. What’s the betting? I think Anthony Nailer makes a very shrewd point, A National Government of Conservatives and Labour as the most likely outcome of the elections, perorating over “stability” and justified by calling on the shared ambition of both to remain in the EU, to have a single UK voice, to sideline the Nationalists in Scotland, Wales and England, and to claim the centre ground in the name of “what is best” in the so many things that both parties like: Elitism; Globalisation; Multiculturalism; a “fair” vision for the Public-private partnership with increased communitarianism and national and international same-ness of “global sustainability” and thus will lay claim to all the ideas of the Greens and other left-wing groups, whilst labelling UKIP as extreme. Remains to be seen what pretext will be found about how the two leaders will sell it to the country… and take us all towards less and less sovereignty and a government of necessity arguing that the general populace need yet more “measures” to “secure our position” and “protect economic growth” etc… whilst steadily increasing the dogma eradicating the people’s voice over worrying developments damaging what little is left of our traditional values rendering them nice and neutral and pliable and even more apathetic in the name of national stability.

  5. Roger Turner // April 29, 2015 at 8:22 pm //

    Sounds like “a pact with the devil”
    But in fact it would be a pact between both branches of the same totalitarian autocracy.
    Even a more devilish concept.

  6. Antony Nailer // April 29, 2015 at 6:37 pm //

    To notaracist. According to Wikipeadia and other Google hits there are still 650 seats to be contested in this election. That means half way is 325 and to have a majority requires 326 seats.

    If Labour and the Conservatives each get say 275 seats that gives them a total of 550 seats. They would outnumber all other parties by 450 seats.

    Interesting though would be that maybe 60 Labour MPs would not be willing to stay in that coalition and may join the opposition. Likewise about 90 Conservative MPs could do likewise and team up with any UKIP MPs. So now the opposition has 250 MPs and the coalition 400. If on any issue 76 coalition MPs vote with the opposition the nays have it.

    It now becomes obvious that the alternative of possibly a minority government will have no chance of putting through any even slightly controversial legislation.

    The consequences of a five-year term with a Lab-Con coalition is clearly material for another article.

  7. The suggestion is both frightening but a distinct possibility. Can you imagine the outcome a massive number of seats able to pass any legislation they want. Ban other parties from existing, don’t laugh Lee Kwan Yew did it in Singapore in the 60s.With a 500 seat majority they could make sure they are in power for ever

    • Stephen Barraclough // April 30, 2015 at 4:10 pm //

      I believe that the provisions included in the Lisbon Treaty – which if I am not DREADFULLY MIS-INFORMED, already ratified and becoming law in Jan 2017 – WILL give the ‘government of the day’
      the power to ‘outlaw’ (and ‘set the Police on!) any gatherings or groupings of people with the object of OPPOSING THE GOVERNMENT! Can anyone (as I would LOVE to hear) show me that, and how, I am wrong?

  8. The UK Courts decided today that the Government has to meet EU Pollution targets. Not a mention from any party yet. Does anyone even know the effect of having to meet these targets ? It sounds nasty.

  9. pamela preedy // April 29, 2015 at 12:13 pm //

    What a nightmare scenario. However, what is not taken into account is the reaction of Conservative back benchers, the anti-EU ones and the MPs who still try to represent the views of their grassroots members in the shires. Their continued support of Cameron as party leader is predicated on his better success this time in gaining a workable majority or at the very least a deal with UKIP for confidence and supply. They’ve had more than enough of the LDs as partners. Cameron had his work cut out in 2010 convincing his back benchers to swallow the coalition; I don’t think he could make them swallow Ed et al and risk enraging the anti-Labour electorate into the bargain.
    But I understand your point that there is not much to choose between two parties obsessed with staying in the EU, probably because they are too cowardly to contemplate running Britain by going it alone.

  10. This solution could benefit both Labour and Conservatives. However, I think that tribal loyalties will trump this possibility. I suspect that Labour has more to gain by joining forces with the SNP and Liberals to kill off the Tories. The Tories having failed could go into meltdown. UKIP could be the big winner as their MPs follow the example of Carswell and Reckless. This will put UKIP in the box seat for the 2020 election.

    • Stephen Barraclough // April 30, 2015 at 4:16 pm //

      That would indeed be a better and more acceptable solution, but WOULD LABOUR’S CURRENT LEADERS HAVE THE WIT AND FORSIGHT to take this alternative route? It would I believe, require more ‘spine’ and negotiating skill than ‘little eddie’ and his immediate group of supporters have displayed so far!

      • I think that they will try it. The lure of destroying the Tories would be a great incentive. However, you are right in pointing out that it will require skill to manage and in the end could fall apart. If the Tories fail to keep their nerve though this will encourage the left leaning parties to stay together. It could be very interesting.

  11. JulianTheSceptic // April 29, 2015 at 11:12 am //

    Not wrong in spirit, Miliband would probably agree a dual pact with the Tories and SNP over various issues.

    But Britain wont head the Commission in 2017 – the Presidency is of the Council.

    • Antony Nailer // April 29, 2015 at 1:36 pm //

      Thanks to Julian for correcting the Presidency being that of the Council.

      To John Cairns, the advantage of Labour going with the tories is that is would be considerably more popular amongst English voters. A minority Labour government propped up by the SNP could trigger a constitutional crisis.

      To Pamela, I have already replied on the back channel (in CB slang). The trouble with the Tories + UKIP is that there are unlikely to be enough seats and the Liberals will not form a 3 way with UKIP there.

      To John Bedford, I don’t know why there is a problem with nitrous oxide unless is has a propensity to mix with other atmospheric pollutants.

      It is quite light with a boiling point of -90deg C so will always be an energtic gas and rise exceeding high in the atmosphere before reaching thermal equilibrium. Its probably like CO2 and declared a danger to the planet for no real reason.

      This new declaration is likely politically motivated to continue the pressure to shut down our old coal fired power stations, even though they presently supply about one third of electricity demand.

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