Sunday the 19th of November was ‘Volkstrauertag’ in Germany: the Sunday when traditionally the Nation remembers their fallen in two World Wars – they do not celebrate Armistice Day. This ‘Day of National Mourning’ saw the failure of the coalition talks between Merkel’s CDU and their sister Party CSU, the Green Party and the FDP, the German Liberals. The label for this planned coalition was “Jamaika”: Black for the Merkel Parties, Yellow for the FDP and Green, well, for the Greens.
A coalition was needed because Merkel did not win a majority in the September Elections and the Social Democrats under Mr Schulz (well known to all Kippers as former president of the EU Parliament) refused to enter another coalition with Merkel. The reason was that they wanted to be the ‘proper opposition’ and not leave the field to the AfD which won 94 seats, thus becoming the third-largest Party in the Bundestag.
According to the rules, the AfD would have been the official opposition in a Black-Red government and, having won more seats than the rest of the small parties, would have had to be given functions such a vice president of the Bundestag, chairs of various important committees: the horror! Don’t forget that for many Germans – especially those in their MSM and in government – the AfD is equated with Nazis and Hitler.
Ideological ‘purity’ is all, as far as Germans are concerned, and anything which smacks of ‘splitting’ and not submitting to the ‘greater good’ of ‘The Nation’ is anathema. Thus the Yellows are already being painted as awful ‘splitters’ and ‘populists’ who are ‘egoists’ and only ‘want power’ – because the rest, Merkel first and foremost, are of course, innocent of power-mania and as pure as the driven snow!
So what does this mean for us in the UK, for Brexit, and especially for UKIP?
Let’s look at the main points which led to the walk-out of the FDP:
* Immigration/refugees; * ‘Green’ energy policies; * Taxation (‘Soli’)
Notice something? Nothing about the EU, never mind Brexit. This ‘Jamaika’ coalition would have meant business-as-usual in Brussels.
Taxation was one break point: the ‘Soli’, a ‘solidarity surcharge’ of 5% on paid income tax to rebuild East Germany has been in force, on and off, since 1992 (translated wiki). The Yellows wanted to be rid of it – the others most emphatically did not.
The ‘green’ energy policies were about the closure of coal power stations, with the Blacks/Greens haggling over a percentage point, the Yellows’ proposals were deemed not to be acceptable.
But the ‘immigration’ issue was the main point – Ms May and Cabinet take note! The Greens and Blacks wanted to legislate for family reunification of all refugees, the Yellows did not. The Greens even came out with a wonderful ‘compromise’, clad in the most extraordinary woolly words: “a breathable upper limit” (?? no, me neither!) Apparently they meant that 200,000 family members should be allowed to come in every year, on top of all other comers … that was their ‘compromise’.
So the Yellows walked out.
What Ms Merkel, what the Greens, what the Reds and the especially the German MSM overlooked were recent events the voters are aware of: the firm attitude in the Visegrad States (Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia) against Muslim immigrants, and what happened in Austria with the electoral success of the anti-immigration politician Sebastian Kurz.
In other words: politicians in certain EU member states who have taken a firm stance against unlimited immigration enjoy political success. I’m sure the Yellow leader, Mr Lindner, has taken note.
For us in UKIP this confirms what we’ve been saying for some time: immigration is the one theme which is most important to voters, be it for Brexit, be it in general politics. It means that standing by one’s principles will be honoured by voters. Doing so fearlessly, without appeasing the MSM, will be honoured even more so.
It should encourage us Kippers – especially our leader and spokespeople – to keep saying what is, without caving into the MSM to ‘look nice’.
But what about Brexit?
Well – Ms Merkel is only interim Chancellor now, she has no power, nor have any of the Ministers. Germans, especially German politicians, being so very keen on finding compromises in order to stay in power – and never mind the voters or one’s principles – will find a way out, the possibilities ranging from a minority government to possible new elections. These won’t take place, for various constitutional reasons, before spring. The big question is of course: will Ms Merkel be made to go, finally?
Therefore, our Negotiating Team and Mr Davis should do what so many have been demanding: just walk out!
Walk out and never mind the now tusk-less Tusk, the toothless Juncker, the flailing Macron who has his hands literally full with riots.
Walk out and never mind the Remoaners and the staunch anti-Brexiteers in Cabinet and especially Whitehall.
Walk out because no deal is indeed better than a bad one. With the Germans out for another few months at least, there’s no reliable negotiating partner. After all, why fine-tune a Brexit Treaty when we don’t know if a new German chancellor feels bound to it?
EU ‘negotiators’ also rely on the tactic of dragging things out until well past the deadline (they do stop the clocks, you know!), in the hope that the other side will give up and give in. So – walk out like the Yellows did in Berlin!
Finally: here we have four rich German political parties, with researchers and helpers galore. They all were unable to get a result in five weeks of negotiations! As we now learn, the redoubtable negotiator Madame Merkel was generally absent during these talks – “Methode Merkel has Failed”, say German headlines.
Indeed it has – and what does that tell us about the Brexit negotiations? Simply this: The Emperor – is naked. Think about that, you remoaners!